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Current Win Probability
Pulpileño 30.9%
Draw 33.3%
Unión Molinense 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
35.2%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
36.6%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Pulpileño - Unión Molinense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Guerrero F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).
Pulpileño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Molinense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pulpileño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Watch
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