Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Ferreira B. (Arg)


	Club Almagro		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33
	1.95	2.9	4.2
	1.83	3.1	4.75
	2	2.91	4.93
	1.95	2.88	4.2
	2.05	2.97	4.3
	2	2.95	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)	2.97 ↓ (3.07)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
47.4%

Draw
31.4%

Deportivo Flandria
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

30.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

32.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Flandria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almagro won 3.

Almagro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Flandria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Almagro is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almagro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	San Martín de San Juan - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Guillermo Brown - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Club Almagro - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	San Telmo - Club Almagro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:4 ✺
24.04.23	Temperley - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - All Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.22	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	0:3
22.04.18	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	2:1
23.04.17	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	1:1
02.11.16	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.15	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:3

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