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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 43.7%
Draw 31.5%
Club Almagro 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
30.4%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
29.2%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
30.8%
0%
San Telmo - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Telmo: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 7. Larthirigoyen I. 5. Ramirez G. (C) 8. Franco E. 10. Fernandez A. 9. Tisera F. 11. Barreto J.
1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Molina M. 2. Mattia F. 6. Aguilar J. J. 3. Punet L. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 7. Troncoso L. 8. Silva G. 10. Perez P. 11. Vasquez D. 9. Mendoza J.
Substitutes
20. Ayunta F. 15. Cosi J. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 16. Gonzalez R. 19. Heiz N. 13. Lillo G. 18. Mayenfisch G. 17. Maza J. 14. Pollacchi L.
12. de Luca E. 18. Dornell T. 14. Gancedo M. 13. Giordano A. 16. Lopez S. 15. Puca D. 20. Rodriguez L. 19. Vedoya F.
Coaches
Grelak A.
Paparatto N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Lamosa A. 🟨,
21', Gonzalez H. 🟥,
25', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Lillo G. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Mendoza J. (Pen),
30', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
34', Mattia F. 🟨,
37', Mendoza J. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Tisera F. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
53', Perez P. ↓, Puca D. ↑,
53', Vasquez D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
57', Lopez S. 🟨,
58', 🟥,
60', 2 - 1, Barreto J. ⚽,
61', Punet L. ↓, Giordano A. ↑,
61', Mattia F. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
72', Silva G. 🟨,
75', Franco E. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
76', Barreto J. ↓, Ayunta F. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
84', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
84', Tisera F. ↓, Heiz N. ↑,
85', Aguilar J. J. 🟨,
86', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
86', 4 - 1, Heiz N. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
San Telmo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Almagro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
San Telmo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.