Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Loustau J. C. (Arg)


	Deportivo Flandria		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2
	1.98	3	3.9
	1.9	3.1	4
	2.04	3.06	4.38
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.94	3.24	4.3	Watch
	2.05	3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.64)	3.07 ↓ (3.55)	4.08 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
46.9%

Draw
30.3%

San Telmo
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Flandria's form might have worsened.

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Flandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Flandria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Telmo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Telmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flandria is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.04.23	Temperley - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - All Boys	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWL
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
05.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	San Telmo - Club Almagro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.22	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	3:3
Argentinian Primera B
20.10.19	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:1
14.04.19	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	1:1
02.11.18	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	0:0
28.02.16	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera B
31.10.26	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Armenio	✺
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	San Telmo - Central Norte	✺

Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo