Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Felipe V. (Arg)


	Club Almagro		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.8
	2.1	2.95	3.6
	2.1	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.21	2.87	4
	2.21	2.87	4
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.12	2.94	3.75
	2.12	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)	3.79 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
43.7%

Draw
31.7%

Defensores Unidos
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Basualdo N. 3. Falabella L. 5. Jerez Silva L. 9. Leal L. 11. Lopez S. 6. Mattia F. 2. Molina M. 10. Perez P. 7. Troncoso L. 8. Vedoya F.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 9. Caballero F. 2. Contreras M. 11. Lonardi F. 6. Mariatti M. 5. Nizzo M. 3. Olivera L. 7. Ortigoza M. 8. Sivetti F. 10. Suarez J.
Substitutes
14. Aguilar J. J. 12. de Luca E. 19. Giacone J. C. 13. Giordano A. 20. Mendoza J. 17. Obredor G. 15. Puca D. 18. Silva G. 16. Vasquez D.	12. Barcelo J. (G) 15. Cavagnero N. 17. Gonzalez J. N. 16. Guerra Brian 18. Juarez R. 13. Morales A. 19. Peralta M. 14. Rapetti M. 20. Velazquez J.
Coaches
Paparatto N.	Davio S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Sivetti F. 🟨,
33', Basualdo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Troncoso L. ⚽,
66', Caballero F. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
66', Sivetti F. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
66', Lonardi F. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Juarez R. ⚽,
71', Suarez J. ↓, Gonzalez J. N. ↑,
75', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
77', Perez P. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
77', Lopez S. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
77', Troncoso L. ↓, Puca D. ↑,
81', Vedoya F. ↓, Giacone J. C. ↑,
83', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Guerra Brian ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Almagro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	San Telmo - Club Almagro	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Club Almagro - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTT
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Temperley - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Club Almagro	1:0
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0

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