Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)


	Club Brugge		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8
	1.3	5.75	8.1	Watch
	1.33	6.13	7.88
	10.93	3.45	1.46	Watch
	1.32	6.27	8.8	Watch
	1.33	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (1.37)	5.49 ↑ (5.1)	7.04 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
51.4%

Draw
27.3%

Westerlo
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.8%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Brugge's form might have worsened.

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Westerlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Westerlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	6.1%	3%

Club Brugge - Westerlo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Brugge (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Brugge (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Brugge (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Brugge (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club Brugge will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club Brugge will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 19 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Jackers N. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 58. Spileers J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 62. Audoor L. 15. Onyedika R. 9. Forbs C. 20. Vanaken H. 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.	99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 5. Kimura S. 25. Rommens T. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho
Substitutes
71. De Corte A. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 87. Furo K. 14. Meijer B. 4. Ordonez J. 11. Sandra C. 41. Siquet H. 25. Stankovic A. 16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 17. Vermant R.	10. Cordero A. 19. Fixelles M. 4. Lapage A. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 11. Mebude A. 14. Vaesen K. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G) 18. Yow G.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Charai I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Alcocer J. ⚽, Sakamoto I. (A),
16', Onyedika R. ↓, Stankovic A. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 2, Nacho ⚽, Alcocer J. (A),
45+4', 1 - 2, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Audoor L. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 3)
46', Audoor L. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Forbs C. ⚽, Mechele B. (A),
55', 3 - 2, Seys J. ⚽, Diakhon M. (A),
60', Alcocer J. ↓, Yow G. ↑,
61', 3 - 3, Nacho ⚽, Sayyadmanesh A. (A),
62', Sayyadmanesh A. 🟨,
67', Mechele B. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
67', Sabbe K. ↓, Meijer B. ↑,
68', 3 - 4, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
71', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
72', Piedfort A. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
75', Bayram E. 🟨,
76', Forbs C. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
79', Sakamoto I. ↓, Fixelles M. ↑,
79', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
85', Rommens T. 🟨,
86', 4 - 4, Tresoldi N. ⚽,
90', Seys J. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 4, Bayram E. (Own goal),
90+8', 5 - 5, Bayram E. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to european competitions.

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 4.

Brugge has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Westerlo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Westerlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brugge is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Brugge: Onyedika R. (Injury) Vermant R. (Injury)

There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Brugge will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:9. (average 2.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brugge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 3.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Club Brugge - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	RAAL La Louvière - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Club Brugge - Glasgow Rangers	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sint-Truidense - Westerlo	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Westerlo - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.24	Club Brugge - Westerlo	4:3
19.10.24	Westerlo - Club Brugge	1:2
20.01.24	Club Brugge - Westerlo	3:0
06.08.23	Westerlo - Club Brugge	0:1
15.04.23	Westerlo - Club Brugge	0:0
08.10.22	Club Brugge - Westerlo	0:2
17.02.17	Westerlo - Club Brugge	1:2

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