Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 3

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Het Kuipje (Westerlo)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza


	Westerlo		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.9	2.65
	2.15	3.65	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.9	3.13
	2.25	3.38	3.10	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.7
	2.22	4.01	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
42.6%

Draw
25.2%

KV Mechelen
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	46.2%	0%

Westerlo - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 33. Neustadter R. 25. Rommens T. 34. Haspolat D. 39. Van den Keybus T. 18. Yow G. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho	1. De Wolf O. (G) 17. Belghali R. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 77. Pflucke P. 6. Hammar F. 16. Schoofs R. 23. Zekri M. 35. Bafdili B. 20. Lauberbach L. 19. Mrabti K.
Substitutes
10. Cordero A. 9. Frigan M. 4. Lapage A. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 11. Mebude A. 46. Piedfort A. 17. Smekens R. 14. Vaesen K. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)	38. Antonio B. 22. Golic L. 8. Konate M. 7. Koudou T. 13. Miras N. (G) 21. Ozdemir H. 14. Raman B. 33. St. Jago T. 18. Struyf I. 5. Teague R. 32. WIllockx A. (G)
Coaches
Charai I.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Halhal R. 🟨,
25', Nacho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yow G. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
46', Neustadter R. ↓, Lapage A. ↑,
60', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
60', Mrabti K. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
60', Belghali R. ↓, St. Jago T. ↑,
70', Pflucke P. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
72', Nacho ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
73', Alcocer J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
80', Lauberbach L. ↓, Ozdemir H. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Raman B. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A),
87', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery) St. Jago T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Westerlo: Goure F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 34:48. (average 1.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.08.25	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Anderlecht - Westerlo	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Westerlo - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
16.07.25	Westerlo - Panathinaikos	1:3 ✺
11.07.25	Westerlo - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.08.25	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Zulte Waregem - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Ajax - KV Mechelen	3:2 ✺
16.07.25	Heist - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.04.25	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	2:2
22.04.25	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	2:3
20.12.24	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	1:1
03.08.24	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	2:4
18.05.24	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	0:2
13.04.24	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	3:2
08.03.24	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	3:1

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