Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	VIX App


	Club Brugge		Monaco

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.9
	2.4	3.6	2.92
	2.42	3.65	2.96
	2.13	3.43	3.31	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.35
	2.46	3.69	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)	2.9 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
39.6%

Draw
27.1%

Monaco
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.3%	23.3%	28.3%

Club Brugge - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 27 - 46.6%). Monaco will win (votes: 17 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 33.8% – 59.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Monaco (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.44) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Monaco (2.11) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Brugge (1.70) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Brugge (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Monaco (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 12 - 38.7%). Monaco (votes: 9 - 29%). Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 14. Meijer B. 15. Onyedika R. 25. Stankovic A. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 9. Forbs C. 7. Tresoldi N. 8. Tzolis C.	16. Kohn P. (G) 2. Vanderson 3. Dier E. (C) 13. Mawissa C. 12. Caio Henrique 11. Akliouche M. 23. Bamba A. 15. Camara L. 18. Minamino T. 14. Biereth M. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
62. Audoor L. 84. Campbell S. 67. Diakhon M. 87. Furo K. 29. Jackers N. (G) 19. Nilsson G. 11. Sandra C. 65. Seys J. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 10. Vetlesen H.	60. Benchaouch Y. (G) 28. Coulibaly M. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 5. Kehrer T. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 20. Ouattara K. 4. Teze J.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', Akliouche M. (Pen),
11', Mignolet S. 🟨,
19', Mignolet S. ↓, Jackers N. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Vanaken H. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Onyedika R. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
42', Mawissa C. 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Vanaken H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Caio Henrique ↓, Kehrer T. ↑,
46', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
61', Forbs C. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
61', Meijer B. ↓, Seys J. ↑,
63', Balogun F. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
63', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
67', Vanaken H. 🟨,
72', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
75', 4 - 0, Diakhon M. ⚽, Seys J. (A),
78', Mawissa C. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
81', Ordonez J. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
81', Onyedika R. ↓, Audoor L. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Fati A. ⚽, Minamino T. (A),

Preview

Brugge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brugge has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Brugge: Vermant R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Salisu M. (Knock) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brugge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Brugge - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	RAAL La Louvière - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Club Brugge - Glasgow Rangers	6:0 ✺
19.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.25	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWW
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Monaco - Strasbourg	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Lille - Monaco	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Monaco - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.11.18	Monaco - Club Brugge	0:4
24.10.18	Club Brugge - Monaco	1:1

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