Match Info

Date: 6 September 2020, Sunday


	Club General Díaz		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.44	Watch
	6.25	4.1	1.44
	6	3.85	1.45	Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.48
	7.13	4.12	1.51
	6	4.2	1.47	Watch
	5.85	4.4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.11 ↑ (5.6)	4.14 ↑ (3.83)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club General Díaz
15.1%

Draw
22.2%

Cerro Porteño
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

24%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.9%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club General Díaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club General Díaz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Club General Díaz - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Copa Libertadores).

General Díaz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerro Porteño in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

General Díaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches General Díaz won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 41-63.

Including matches at home between the teams General Díaz won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club General Díaz
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.20	Guaireña - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
27.08.20	Club General Díaz - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
23.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Club General Díaz	4:1 ✺
16.08.20	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.08.20	Nacional Asuncion - Club General Díaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.08.20	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
26.08.20	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
18.08.20	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
13.08.20	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.03.20	Cerro Porteño - Club General Díaz	0:1
15.12.19	Cerro Porteño - Club General Díaz	2:4
26.09.19	Club General Díaz - Cerro Porteño	2:2
06.04.19	Cerro Porteño - Club General Díaz	2:0
06.02.19	Club General Díaz - Cerro Porteño	1:3
11.11.18	Cerro Porteño - Club General Díaz	3:1
25.08.18	Club General Díaz - Cerro Porteño	1:4

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