Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)


	Guaireña		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.57
	5.5	3.75	1.57	Watch
	6.27	4.14	1.57
	5.45	3.82	1.57
	5.4	3.45	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (5.06)	3.83 ↓ (3.92)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
16.8%

Draw
24.4%

Cerro Porteño
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.9%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Guaireña - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Servin C. (G) 11. Martinez A. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 3. Castellano T. 16. Paiz J. 29. Nelle S. 37. Comas L. 8. Cazal I. 25. Camisassa B. 19. Godoy D. 9. Verdun J.	13. Jean (G) 30. Nunez A. 5. Morel J. 4. Eduardo Brock 21. Arzamendia S. 16. Bobadilla D. 33. Peralta F. 20. Viera W. 8. Carrizo F. 39. Portillo Avalos T. G. 19. Diego Churin (C)
Substitutes
22. Borja E. 15. Doldan J. 18. Duarte C. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 5. Gonzalez J. 13. Toledo O. (G) 28. Toledo R.	6. Carrascal R. 10. Dominguez C. 28. Farina A. 7. Gimenez E. 12. Martinez M. (G) 23. Oviedo A. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Bernay V.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.09.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Guaireña - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	4:0 ✺
18.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLT
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
09.07.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	1:3
28.04.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	2:0
17.02.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:2
12.11.22	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	1:3
14.09.22	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	2:2
11.05.22	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	0:0
27.02.22	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:2

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