Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Club General Díaz		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.7
	4	3.5	1.75
	4	3.5	1.79
	4.46	3.71	1.85
	4.2	3.5	1.8
	4.1	3.8	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (2.93)	3.56 ↑ (3.37)	1.77 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club General Díaz
22%

Draw
26%

River Plate Montevideo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

20.1%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club General Díaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club General Díaz's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club General Díaz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	16%	72%

Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. General Díaz will win (votes: 3 - 12%). River Plate will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

General Díaz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches General Díaz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams General Díaz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club General Díaz
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	Cerro Porteño - Club General Díaz	3:1 ✺
19.11.20	Club General Díaz - Sol de América	2:5 ✺
14.11.20	Guaireña - Club General Díaz	1:1 ✺
10.11.20	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	3:4 ✺
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
03.12.20	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Rosario Central - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.20	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
02.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Club General Díaz	3:2
02.11.19	River Plate Montevideo - Club General Díaz	1:0
09.08.19	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
30.04.19	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
26.02.19	River Plate Montevideo - Club General Díaz	3:2
30.09.16	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	2:0

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