Match Info

Date: 10 November 2020, Tuesday


	Club General Díaz		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.44	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.45
	7.5	4.15	1.38	Watch
	6.6	4.3	1.42
	7.95	4.39	1.46
	8	4	1.42	Watch
	7.2	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (4.63)	4.13 ↑ (3.49)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club General Díaz
12.9%

Draw
22.4%

Libertad Asuncion
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.2%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club General Díaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club General Díaz's form might have worsened.

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club General Díaz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	4.2%	75%

Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. General Díaz will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Libertad will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).

General Díaz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Libertad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches General Díaz won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 18-52.

Including matches at home between the teams General Díaz won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club General Díaz
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Club General Díaz - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
23.10.20	12 de Octubre - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
16.10.20	Club General Díaz - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	12 de Octubre - Club General Díaz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
31.10.20	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.20	Libertad Asuncion - Independiente Medellín	2:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.20	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
07.03.20	Libertad Asuncion - Club General Díaz	5:1
11.11.19	Libertad Asuncion - Club General Díaz	3:1
25.08.19	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
14.04.19	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	1:3
09.02.19	Libertad Asuncion - Club General Díaz	4:0
01.12.18	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	1:1

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