Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)


	Guaireña		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.44
	6	4.1	1.43
	6.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	6.89	4.52	1.49
	6.5	4.4	1.4
	6.4	4.25	1.45
	6.2	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (6.26)	4.3 ↓ (4.44)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
14.5%

Draw
21.5%

Libertad Asuncion
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

20.8%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.2%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Servin C. (G) 24. Aguilar J. 23. Caceres E. 25. Camisassa B. 37. Comas L. 33. Coronel P. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 2. Gimenez A. 16. Paiz J. 6. Paniagua M. 7. Parzajuk K.	1. Silva M. (G) 3. Barboza A. 6. Campuzano A. 17. Espinoza M. 10. Melgarejo L. 8. Merlini B. 2. Ramirez I. 21. Sanabria L. 24. Santa C. R. 5. Viera D. 15. Villalba H.
Substitutes
3. Castellano T. 8. Cazal I. 15. Doldan J. 18. Duarte C. 13. Toledo O. (G) 20. Toledo R. 9. Verdun J.	20. Bareiro A. 26. Caballero H. 19. Lezcano R. 11. Mendieta W. 12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 33. Piris I. 35. Villalba R.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Galeano A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 1.

Guaireña is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guaireña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.10.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.09.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	1:4 ✺
15.09.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.10.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	4:0 ✺
23.09.23	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.09.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.09.23	Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3
16.05.23	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
11.03.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0
06.11.22	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:2
10.09.22	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	4:0
17.06.22	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0
02.04.22	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	2:3

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