Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Club León		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.58	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.63	4.08	5.82
	1.66	3.74	5.15	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.59	4.05	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	5.36 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Club León
58.6%

Draw
24%

Querétaro
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Querétaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Club León - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - León (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 31. Santos S. 25. Bellon P. 21. Barreiro S. 26. Reyes S. 4. Fonseca N. 20. Echeverria R. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 6. Beltran Cruz F. 11. Diaz I. 29. Alvarado A.	1. Hernandez J. (G) 2. Mendoza Martin O. I. 9. Reyes D. 6. Homenchenko S. 23. Robles J. 13. Armenta E. 16. Zapata A. 8. Barrera P. (C) 28. Bogarin R. 10. Rodriguez L. 17. Venegas F.
Substitutes
13. Arcila D. 16. Cortizo J. 27. Estrada A. 18. Funes Mori R. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 28. Ramirez D. 8. Rigoni E. 19. Rodriguez E. 184. Saldamando J.	4. Garcia C. 12. Gomez J. 14. Hernandez J. 7. Jhojan Julio 3. Manzanarez O. 22. Partida E. 26. Perlaza J. 32. Valenzuela C. 15. Villanueva C. 24. Villegas L. (G)
Coaches
Berizzo E.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Venegas F. 🟨,
15', Robles J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Beltran Cruz F. ⚽, Reyes S. (A),
45+2', Zapata A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robles J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
53', Santos S. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽,
61', Santos S. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
66', Barrera P. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
72', Venegas F. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
72', Armenta E. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽,
76', Cortizo J. 🟨,
77', Perlaza J. 🟨,
80', Barreiro S. 🟨,
83', Hernandez J. 🟥,
85', Alvarado A. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
85', Diaz I. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
85', Fonseca N. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

León may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, León is the team to beat.

There will not play in León: Gauthier V. (Red Card)

There are questionable in León: Blanco A. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Avila A. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury) Perlaza J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
23.08.25	Club León - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Necaxa - Club León	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Club León - Monterrey	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Columbus Crew - Club León	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	New York City - Club León	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
22.08.25	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Querétaro - Atlas	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Club América - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Real Salt Lake - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Portland Timbers - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
04.04.25	Querétaro - Club León	1:1
26.10.24	Club León - Querétaro	4:0
06.04.24	Club León - Querétaro	0:2
29.09.23	Querétaro - Club León	1:1
09.02.23	Querétaro - Club León	0:3
18.09.22	Club León - Querétaro	3:1
03.04.22	Club León - Querétaro	1:1

Upcoming Matches