Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Club León		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.20
	2.9	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.22	3.7	2.25
	3.03	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.19
	3.48	3.56	2.12	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
30.2%

Draw
26.7%

Monterrey
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Club León - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 4. Colula B. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 5. Vegas S. 29. Rodriguez I. (C) 16. Cortizo J. 35. Valadez L. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 13. Arcila D. 27. Cambindo D.	22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 30. Rodriguez J. 3. Arteaga G. 5. Ambriz F. 25. Pineda O. 9. Rossi D. 17. Corona J. (C) 7. Ocampos L. 99. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
19. Alvarado A. 25. Bellon P. 11. Diaz I. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 203. Lara J. 185. Mora C. 7. Moreno I. 26. Reyes S. 22. Santos S.	14. Aguirre E. 27. de la Rosa R. 203. De Nigris A. 11. Fimbres I. 200. Galvez O. 18. Garza C. 10. Orellano L. 31. Ramos C. (G) 21. Reyes L. 8. Torres O.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Cortizo J. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
45', Chavez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chavez R. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
60', Cambindo D. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
60', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
66', Romana J. 🟥,
68', Cortizo J. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
68', Ambriz F. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
77', Cardenas L. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Arcila D. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Colula B. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
81', Pineda O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
81', Arteaga G. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
81', Rodriguez I. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
88', Corona J. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
90+7', Guevara J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 1.

León has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, León has had a series of away games.

Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in León: Echeverria R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Monterrey: Djurdjevic U. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in León: Diaz I. (Muscle Injury) Estrada A. (Broken Leg) Guerra E. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Club Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Club León - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Monterrey - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.91%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
17.08.26	Necaxa - Club León	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Inter Miami - Club León	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Orlando City - Club León	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Nashville SC - Club León	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Club León - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWWWW
- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
15.08.26	Monterrey - Juárez	6:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Monterrey - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Inter Miami - Monterrey	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Monterrey - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Monterrey - Club León	1:0
11.08.25	Club León - Monterrey	1:3
20.04.25	Club León - Monterrey	0:2
10.11.24	Monterrey - Club León	2:1
20.04.24	Club León - Monterrey	2:0
16.09.23	Monterrey - Club León	3:1
27.02.23	Club León - Monterrey	1:1

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