Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX One, Tubi TV


	Club León		UNAM

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	1.95
	4.21	3.52	1.80	Watch
	2.98	3.85	2.11
	3.1	3.85	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.31)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
28%

Draw
24.9%

UNAM
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.8%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club León's performance.

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club León that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Club León - UNAM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 33. Barrientos Y. 14. Camargo A. 22. Cortes S. 5. Diaz B. 2. Garcia M. 17. Pinilla F. 26. Ramirez A. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 15. Soto K. 21. Villanueva A.	1. Toledo W. (G) 4. Alvarado M. (C) 22. Becerril K. 11. Bolanos N. 13. Chavero P. 14. Davila J. 16. Guerrero A. 12. Hix A. 7. Ribeiro S. 9. Rios X. 10. Torres C.
Substitutes
24. Adu B. 27. Aleman I. 34. Aleman V. 8. Bravo L. R. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 18. Carter T. 29. Jasso K. 9. Lema J. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A.	18. Bonilla W. 29. Carmona E. 21. Delgado F. 6. Dorantes A. 28. Flores S. 30. Gonzalez M. 27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 2. Ramirez K. 8. Serna L.
Coaches
Corona A.	Frigerio M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Diaz B. 🟨,
29', Bolanos N. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Soto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hix A. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
46', Cortes S. ↓, Bravo L. R. ↑,
46', Diaz B. ↓, Aleman V. ↑,
46', Guerrero A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
47', Villanueva A. 🟨,
60', Becerril K. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
60', Bolanos N. ↓, Dorantes A. ↑,
60', Rios X. ↓, Carmona E. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 1.

León has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UNAM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

León may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, León won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
19.10.25	Monterrey - Club León	3:1 ✺
10.10.25	Club León - Pachuca	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Atlas - Club León	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Tigres UANL - Club León	9:0 ✺
22.09.25	Club León - Santos Laguna	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLW
- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
16.10.25	UNAM - Juárez	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	UNAM - Atlas	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	4:3 ✺
29.09.25	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
29.03.25	Club León - UNAM	2:3
05.07.24	UNAM - Club León	2:0
08.01.24	Club León - UNAM	4:1
02.09.23	UNAM - Club León	2:1
23.01.23	Club León - UNAM	0:3
01.10.22	UNAM - Club León	4:0
08.01.22	UNAM - Club León	1:0

Club León - UNAM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide