Match Info

Primera C - Round 21

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: 1 de abril (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Club Luján		Central Ballester

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.25	6.00
	1.52	3.3	6.3	Watch
	1.55	3.34	6.42
	1.54	3.41	6.7	Watch
	1.5	3.3	6.35
	1.58	3.43	6.86
	1.53	3.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.96)	3.33 ↑ (2.95)	6.4 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
58.8%

Draw
27.1%

Central Ballester
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Luján's performance.

Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Ballester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Luján that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Ballester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Club Luján - Central Ballester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Icazatti L. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Dopazo T. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Serra T. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Club Luján is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central Ballester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Ballester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Club Luján is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Club Luján won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Club Luján won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
11.07.26	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Club Luján - Fénix	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW
- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
12.07.26	Central Ballester - General Lamadrid	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Leones de Rosario - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
30.06.26	Central Ballester - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Central Ballester - Cañuelas	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Central Ballester	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.03.26	Central Ballester - Club Luján	2:3
06.07.25	Club Luján - Central Ballester	3:1
22.03.25	Central Ballester - Club Luján	0:1
12.10.24	Club Luján - Central Ballester	2:3
15.05.24	Central Ballester - Club Luján	0:0

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