Match Info

Primera C - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: 1 de abril (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Club Luján		Fénix

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.15	5.20
	1.58	3.14	6.27
	1.62	3.18	6.2	Watch
	1.57	3.10	5.84
	1.58	3.15	6.59
	1.58	3.15	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)	3.15 (3.15)	6.02 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
56.3%

Draw
28.7%

Fénix
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

28.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Club Luján - Fénix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ramos E. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 🟥,
41', 2 - 0, Abad A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 2 - 1, Montero S. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Club Luján is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fénix is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Club Luján is the team to beat.

We predict that Club Luján will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Club Luján won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Club Luján - Leones de Rosario	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera C
29.06.26	Fénix - General Lamadrid	3:1 ✺
15.06.26	Fénix - Leones de Rosario	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Fénix	1:1 ✺
01.06.26	Fénix - Cañuelas	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Fénix	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.02.26	Fénix - Club Luján	1:1

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