Match Info

MALI: PREMIERE DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Club Olympique de Bamako		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.45	2.55	2.3
	3.84	2.68	2.21
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.78	2.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.1)	2.68 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Olympique de Bamako
25.2%

Draw
33.6%

Real Bamako
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

27.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Olympique de Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Bamako might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Olympique de Bamako than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Bamako could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

Club Olympique de Bamako - Real Bamako Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CO Bamako will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Real Bamako will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2).

CO Bamako is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Bamako is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Bamako will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CO Bamako won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams CO Bamako won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Olympique de Bamako
Malian Première Division
19.12.22	Club Olympique de Bamako - Onze Créateurs	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Club Olympique de Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Club Olympique de Bamako	1:0 ✺
25.11.22	Club Olympique de Bamako - Korofina	1:3 ✺
12.11.22	AS Police de Bamako - Club Olympique de Bamako	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLT
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
19.12.22	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Real Bamako - Korofina	2:0 ✺
02.12.22	Afrique Football Elite - Real Bamako	1:1 ✺
25.11.22	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	2:2 ✺
17.11.22	Yeelen - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
03.07.22	Real Bamako - Club Olympique de Bamako	1:2
28.02.22	Club Olympique de Bamako - Real Bamako	0:0
11.07.17	Club Olympique de Bamako - Real Bamako	4:0

Club Olympique de Bamako - Real Bamako