Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Alvechurch		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.87
	3.25	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.15	4.15	1.92
	3.66	4.37	1.76
	2.6	3.75	2.15
	3.42	3.72	1.85
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.4)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	1.91 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
28.5%

Draw
23.5%

Coalville Town
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

23.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvechurch's form might have worsened.

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvechurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alvechurch - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 0.

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coalville is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coalville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coalville have a series of guest games.

Coalville will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvechurch won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.11.23	Alvechurch - Leiston	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Nuneaton Town - Alvechurch	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.12.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:3
13.08.22	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	4:1
04.01.22	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:1
14.09.21	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	3:1
13.04.19	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	5:0
18.08.18	Coalville Town - Alvechurch	2:0

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