Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.2
	2.63	3.92	2.27
	2.64	3.52	2.28
	2.7	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
34.2%

Draw
25%

Coalville Town
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Hitchin Town - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Hitchin have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hitchin Town - Stamford	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	0:4 ✺
23.09.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	0:0 ✺
11.09.23	Hitchin Town - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWTW
- Coalville Town
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Royston Town - Coalville Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Coalville Town - Stamford	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Leiston - Coalville Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Coalville Town - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.02.23	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	5:1
14.11.22	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	2:2
05.02.22	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	2:1
11.10.21	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	0:2
07.03.20	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	1:2
21.10.19	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	1:0
20.03.19	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	1:0

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