Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.17	3.69	1.95
	3.2	3.6	1.91
	3.35	3.54	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)	3.57 ↓ (3.95)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
28%

Draw
25.5%

Tamworth
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Coalville Town - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 4.

Recent matches Coalville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tamworth is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coalville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tamworth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Coalville won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Coalville Town - Stamford	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Leiston - Coalville Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Coalville Town - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.23	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Coalville Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Tamworth
English National League North
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Tamworth - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Tamworth - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
05.09.23	Tamworth - Chorley	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	2:1
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:0
27.08.22	Tamworth - Coalville Town	1:4
15.01.22	Coalville Town - Tamworth	4:0
17.08.21	Tamworth - Coalville Town	1:1
16.02.19	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:2
01.12.18	Tamworth - Coalville Town	1:3

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