Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Curzon Ashton		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.2
	2.92	3.3	2.28
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.92	3.42	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.55	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.81)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
32.2%

Draw
26.3%

Tamworth
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.1%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.4%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Curzon Ashton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Curzon Ashton - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 1.

Curzon Ashton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tamworth is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
07.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWL
- Tamworth
English National League North
07.10.23	Tamworth - Darlington	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Tamworth - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Tamworth - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	0:1
24.03.18	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	1:0
19.08.17	Tamworth - Curzon Ashton	4:1
07.01.17	Tamworth - Curzon Ashton	3:2
10.09.16	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	1:5
16.02.16	Tamworth - Curzon Ashton	2:1
03.10.15	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	2:0

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