Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 9

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.4	3.02
	2.42	3.4	3.02
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.38	3.3	2.93	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.99)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	2.94 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
39.7%

Draw
28.3%

Audax Italiano
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobreloa's form might have worsened.

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audax Italiano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobreloa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audax Italiano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Cobreloa - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 6. Palma N. 24. Garcia L. (C) 4. Tapia B. 31. Roco T. 30. Gonzalez D. 11. Leiva J. 17. Bravo C. 23. Rodriguez G. 12. Monroy B.	23. Ustari O. (C) 6. Guiffrey G. 3. Munoz C. 7. Fernandez N. 26. Ortiz G. 8. Collao M. 11. Rios G. 15. Cecchini E. 22. Riep A. 14. Alvarez G. 20. Jeraldino I.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 15. Campagnaro M. 21. Hernandez R. 32. Mulet A. 9. Parra L. 20. Sandoval M. 27. Soto J. C.	25. Collao G. (G) 19. Dittborn S. 17. Guajardo P. 9. Palacios L. 4. Pina D. 21. Rodriguez T. 2. Rojas Munoz O. J.
Coaches
Astorga E.	Arrue Pardo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Riep A. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Jeraldino I. ⚽, Munoz C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Palma N. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
46', Roco T. ↓, Soto J. C. ↑,
59', Bravo C. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez G. ↓, Parra L. ↑,
68', Garcia L. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Alvarez G. ⚽, Riep A. (A),
70', Rios G. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
70', Jeraldino I. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
70', Riep A. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
82', Guiffrey G. ↓, Dittborn S. ↑,
83', Alvarez G. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1.

Recent matches Cobreloa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audax Italiano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Audax Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
15.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Unión La Calera - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLLWW
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.24	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Audax Italiano - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
22.02.15	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	1:0
14.09.14	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	0:1
02.02.14	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	2:0
24.08.13	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	1:1
17.03.13	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	1:1
21.07.12	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	1:2

Upcoming Matches