The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 34.9%
Draw 28.6%
Universidad de Chile 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
27.7%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
27.3%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobreloa's form might have worsened.
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobreloa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
35.7%
28.6%
Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cobreloa: 10.6% – 60.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 4. Tapia B. 30. Gonzalez D. 6. Palma N. 24. Garcia L. 11. Leiva J. 17. Bravo C. 28. Arancibia F. 7. Insaurralde C. (C) 12. Monroy B.
25. Castellon G. (G) 3. Tapia I. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 21. Diaz M. (C) 17. Hormazabal F. 14. Morales M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 30. Palacios C. 9. Fernandez L.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 33. Fernandez P. 21. Hernandez R. 32. Mulet A. 9. Parra L. 23. Rodriguez G. 20. Sandoval M.
4. Castro J. 27. Fuentealba J. 11. Guerra N. 20. Mateos F. 5. Ojeda E. 18. Pons L. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Astorga E.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Fernandez L. (Pen),
28', Bravo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Morales M. ⚽,
66', Bravo C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
66', Gonzalez D. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Monroy B. ⚽, Leiva J. (A),
69', Castellon G. 🟨,
72', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
76', Palacios C. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
82', Monroy B. 🟨,
88', Fernandez L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
88', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Mateos F. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Guerra N. ⚽, Morales M. (A),
90+1', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
90+3', Hormazabal F. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
90+4', Morales M. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90+6', Castro J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 0.
Cobreloa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Universidad de Chile in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Cobreloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.
Watch
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Avellaneda N. (G) 
Espejo J. 
Palacios C. 
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