Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 8

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Millas N. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	6	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7.25
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.98	7.81
	1.4	4.98	7.81
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.38	4.8	7.55	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	4.95 ↑ (4.29)	7.37 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
68.2%

Draw
19%

Cobreloa
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colo-Colo's performance.

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Colo Colo - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. (C) 5. Gil L. 11. Bolados M. 29. Paiva G. 14. Zavala C.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 4. Tapia B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 6. Palma N. 28. Arancibia F. 24. Garcia L. 11. Leiva J. 7. Insaurralde C. 17. Bravo C. 12. Monroy B.
Substitutes
15. Amor E. 22. Benegas L. 19. Castellani G. 30. De Paul F. (G) 3. Gutierrez D. 26. Moya M. 34. Pizarro V.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 33. Fernandez P. 30. Gonzalez D. 21. Hernandez R. 23. Rodriguez G. 20. Sandoval M. 27. Soto J. C.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Astorga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Insaurralde C. ⚽,
35', Arancibia F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
40', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
41', Bravo C. 🟨,
43', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Opazo Lara O. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
58', Monroy B. ↓, Soto J. C. ↑,
58', Bravo C. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Hernandez R. (A),
75', Falcon M. ↓, Benegas L. ↑,
81', Hernandez R. 🟨,
84', Garcia L. 🟨,
86', Zavala C. 🟨,
87', Vidal A. 🟨,
87', Cortes B. 🟥,
89', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
90+2', Bolados M. ↓, De Paul F. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colo-Colo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Fluminense - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.04.24	Ñublense - Colo-Colo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.24	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
07.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Unión La Calera - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
04.10.23	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	1:0
27.09.23	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	2:2
26.10.16	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	3:1
20.10.16	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.15	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:4
30.11.14	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	4:1
15.03.14	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:0

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