The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 68.1%
Draw 18.8%
Cobreloa 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
24.1%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
24.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coquimbo Unido's performance.
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coquimbo Unido that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flores G. (G) 26. Soza L. 4. Hernandez E. 19. Arancibia J. 28. Cabrera S. (C) 23. Zepeda M. 14. Cordero S. 29. Pons F. 35. Alfaro G. 31. Pereira D. 12. Pratto L.
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (C) 18. Mendez J. 35. Wastavino L. 39. Gaete B. 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 14. Aranguiz T. 37. Duma J. 20. Matamoros F. 34. Orellana C. 9. Conelli V. 19. Navarro Y.
Substitutes
11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 39. Blanco Y. 37. Calderon D. 21. Dorador C. (G) 27. Riveros L. 18. Rodriguez P. 36. Rojas J. 34. Rojas P. 10. Vadala G.
42. Coronado V. 2. Fajardo M. 31. Gallardo E. 40. Jaldin F. 13. Quezada A. 25. Roco V. 30. Tapia D. (G) 41. Tapia M. 26. Tejerina A.
Coaches
Caputto H.
Salas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Aranguiz T. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Conelli V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Pons F. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
56', Pratto L. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Riveros L. ⚽,
68', Cordero S. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Vadala G. ⚽, Cordero S. (A),
70', Pereira D. ↓, Blanco Y. ↑,
70', Zepeda M. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
70', Orellana C. ↓, Tapia M. ↑,
75', Mendez J. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
76', Alfaro G. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
79', Tapia M. 🟨,
80', Conelli V. ↓, Jaldin F. ↑,
80', Matamoros F. ↓, Coronado V. ↑,
85', Soza L. 🟨,
87', Wastavino L. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Cobreloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Coquimbo for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:14 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Coquimbo against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.