Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)


	Curicó Unido		Rangers de Talca

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.4
	2.12	3.21	3.47
	2.07	3.33	3.5	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.1	3.41	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	3.4 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
43.9%

Draw
29%

Rangers de Talca
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.4%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curicó Unido that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rangers de Talca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curicó Unido (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 9. Benegas L. 4. Colombo R. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 7. Fernandez N. 5. Guisolfo B. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 10. Retamales J. 15. Sanhueza H.	25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 14. Acuna S. 16. Araya J. 19. Gonzalez D. 10. Gonzalez M. E. 7. Ibanez I. 20. Moya G. 9. Ribas S. 18. Rodriguez A. 27. Servetti C. 5. Silva D.
Substitutes
13. Bustamante C. 39. Gomez J. 28. Ibarra H. 17. Inostroza B. 8. Romo J. 3. Sarria G. 1. Vergara T. (G)	17. Campestrini C. (G) 26. Herrera J. 13. Mora A. 4. Navarrete J. 22. Plaza D. 3. Vasquez K. 11. Vicuna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Benegas L. ⚽,
10', 🟨,
40', Benegas L. 🟨,
45', Moya G. 🟨,
45+2', Ibanez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Araya J. ↓, Navarrete J. ↑,
62', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Ibarra H. ↑,
62', Retamales J. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
67', Acuna S. 🟨,
70', Ormeno E. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.

In recent matches, Curicó Unido has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rangers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Curicó Unido has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24
16	Rangers	26	4	6	16	23:42	-19	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rangers de Talca - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.76%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.03.26	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.02.26	Colchagua - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.02.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLW
- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.03.26	Rangers de Talca - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Copiapó - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	1:2
01.02.26	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.08.25	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1
12.04.25	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	0:1
14.09.24	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:2
05.05.24	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	2:3
Chilean Cup
25.06.21	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	2:1 penalties

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