Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Coimbrões		Régua

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.6
	1.86	3.8	3.48
	1.79	3.48	3.95
	1.86	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	3.66 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coimbrões
49.5%

Draw
25.6%

Régua
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

17.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coimbrões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coimbrões's form might have worsened.

Régua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Régua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coimbrões than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coimbrões that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Régua than the current prediction. (+2%)

Coimbrões - Régua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lobo Y. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 2, Paixao ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

In this match Coimbrões is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coimbrões won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 3.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Coimbrões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coimbrões
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Leça - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Coimbrões - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Machico - Coimbrões	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Coimbrões - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Salgueiros 08 - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- SC Régua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Camacha - Régua	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Alpendorada - Régua	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Régua - Leça	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Beira-Mar - Régua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.10.24	Régua - Coimbrões	2:3
Taça de Portugal
08.09.19	Coimbrões - Régua	4:1

Coimbrões - Régua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide