Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)


	Colchester United		Barrow

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.25
	2.15	3.25	3.4
	2.22	3.15	3.25
	2.27	3.18	3.42
	4.07	3.58	1.82	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.22	3.24	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.12 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
39.1%

Draw
29.9%

Barrow
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Colchester United - Barrow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Colchester United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 26. Powell J. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 11. Gordon J. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 9. Tovide S.	1. Stanway W. (G) 5. Raglan C. 6. Canavan N. (C) 3. Shipley L. 22. Booty R. 7. Jackson B. 29. Barkhuizen T. 8. Smith S. 21. Earing J. 10. Walker T. 23. Mahoney C.
Substitutes
23. Akande A. 20. Baldwin J. 15. Gape D. 14. Lisbie K. 12. Smith T. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 17. Williams J.	18. Cameron I. 17. Kouyate K. 11. Newby E. 43. Smith K. 34. Whitfield B. 31. Winterbottom B. (G) 27. Worrall D.
Coaches
Cowley D.	Whing A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Earing J. ⚽,
14', Booty R. 🟨,
14', Payne J. 🟨,
45', Raglan C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Jackson B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
64', Mahoney C. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
65', Hunt R. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
65', Gordon J. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
65', Edwards O. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
71', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Shipley L. ⚽, Raglan C. (A),
76', Bishop T. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
83', Walker T. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
90+1', Flanagan T. ↓, Baldwin J. ↑,
90+1', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 0.

Colchester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colchester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Colchester: Iandolo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Fletcher I. (Injury) Harper R. (Hamstring Injury) Williams M. (Hernia)

There are questionable in Barrow: Foley S. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Leg Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Colchester United - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.85%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
19.08.25	Colchester United - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Oxford United - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Oldham Athletic - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTT
- Barrow
English League Two
19.08.25	Harrogate Town - Barrow	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Barrow - Notts County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Barrow - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Chesterfield - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.05.25	Colchester United - Barrow	0:0
09.11.24	Barrow - Colchester United	1:1
09.03.24	Barrow - Colchester United	2:0
25.11.23	Colchester United - Barrow	1:4
04.02.23	Colchester United - Barrow	1:1
01.11.22	Barrow - Colchester United	3:1
15.01.22	Colchester United - Barrow	0:2

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