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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 38.3%
Draw 28.3%
Colchester United 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
29.8%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.4%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brook W. (G) 6. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 26. Anderson T. 2. Hoole L. 10. Sang T. 7. Turner-Cooke J. 11. Berkoe K. 8. Fletcher I. 9. Lloyd G. 13. Davison J.
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 20. Raggett S. 3. Iandolo E. 12. Sesay M. 26. Williams J. 14. Kouassi K. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 9. Ihionvien B.
Substitutes
46. Aiston H. 4. England I. 27. Gbode J. 21. Gray W. 32. Gregory C. (G) 23. Lee I. 24. Sousa L.
39. Connolly K. 6. Digby P. 44. Kuffour S. 15. Lubala B. 31. Roberts O. (G) 24. Terry F. 27. Thorn O.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Hoole L. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Sesay M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Hoole L. ⚽, Sang T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Lloyd G. 🟨,
67', Davison J. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
73', Ihionvien B. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
73', Anderson H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
89', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
90', Kouassi K. ↓, Connolly K. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Sesay M. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 18th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Recently, Shrewsbury has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Shrewsbury: Price J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Colchester: Williams J.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Shrewsbury: Turner-Cooke J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shrewsbury against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:9 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 1.62% Shrewsbury: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
19
Colchester
9
2
4
3
10:13
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Colchester United - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Brook W. (G) 
Boyle W. (C) 
Hoole L. 
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Williams J. 
Lee I. 
Lubala B. 
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