Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	DAZN
Argentina	08:30	DAZN
Australia	21:30	DAZN
Austria	13:30	DAZN
Bolivia	07:30	DAZN
Bulgaria	14:30	DAZN
Croatia	13:30	DAZN
Cyprus	14:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	13:30	DAZN
Denmark	13:30	DAZN
Ecuador	06:30	DAZN
Finland	14:30	DAZN
France	13:30	DAZN France
Germany	13:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	14:30	DAZN
Hungary	13:30	DAZN
Italy	13:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	DAZN
Latvia	14:30	DAZN
Lithuania	14:30	DAZN
North Macedonia	13:30	DAZN
Norway	13:30	DAZN
Paraguay	07:30	DAZN
Poland	13:30	DAZN
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	14:30	DAZN
Serbia	13:30	DAZN
Slovenia	13:30	DAZN
South Africa	13:30	DAZN
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	DAZN
Switzerland	13:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	14:30	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	14:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	12:30	DAZN
Uruguay	08:30	DAZN
Usa	07:30	SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	16:30	DAZN
Venezuela	07:30	DAZN
International	11:30	DAZN National League


	Harrogate Town		Barrow

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	3.10
	1.95	3.30	3.20
	2.06	3.60	3.05
	2.06	3.75	3.52
	2.07	3.51	3.31	Watch
	2.03	3.65	3.30
	2.06	3.70	3.19
	2.05	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)	3.24 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
45.5%

Draw
25.9%

Barrow
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Harrogate Town - Barrow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxley M. (G) 24. Cass L. 31. Heffernan C. 4. Baptiste A. 2. Payne L. 29. Barnes L. 14. Williams M. 3. Bristow E. 11. McGowan W. 15. Hobson B. 23. Dolaghan B.	1. Winterbottom B. (G) 2. Oakley M. 33. Benjamin X. 25. Kalambayi P. 11. Walker G. 22. Amos D. 26. Harper R. 27. Marriott I. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 4. Williams M. (C) 32. Rose D.
Substitutes
5. Bradbury T. . Johnson B. 9. McCoulsky S. 35. McGuckin C. . Pimlott O. 7. Thomson G. 30. Watson R. (G)	18. Cameron I. 7. Crankshaw O. 6. Digie K. 9. Reid A. 8. Smith S. 10. Ward K. 34. Whitfield B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Bristow E. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. (Own goal),
42', Hobson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benjamin X. ↓, Digie K. ↑,
57', Walker G. 🟨,
58', Dolaghan B. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
58', Williams M. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
58', McGowan W. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
62', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
64', Barnes L. 🟨,
68', Harper R. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
68', Rose D. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
74', Barnes L. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
77', Bristow E. ↓, Pimlott O. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Heffernan C. ⚽,
86', Walker G. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.

Harrogate has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrow's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Harrogate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Harrogate	15	10	1	4	32:21	11	31
8	Barrow	14	7	3	4	25:18	7	24

Outrights of English National League for now

Harrogate: 4.23% Barrow: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English National League
15.08.26	Wealdstone - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Harrogate Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	2:2 ✺
21.07.26	South Shields - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTW
- Barrow
English National League
15.08.26	Barrow - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Hartlepool United - Barrow	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Morecambe - Barrow	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Barrow - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Radcliffe - Barrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1
19.08.25	Harrogate Town - Barrow	1:0
04.01.25	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:2
31.08.24	Harrogate Town - Barrow	0:1
16.03.24	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:0
02.09.23	Harrogate Town - Barrow	0:1
18.03.23	Harrogate Town - Barrow	1:0

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