Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Colima		Zapotlanejo

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.43	3.98	Watch
	1.71	3.58	4.27	Watch
	1.82	3.54	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	4 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colima
51%

Draw
26.1%

Zapotlanejo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

20.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Zapotlanejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colima than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zapotlanejo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Colima - Zapotlanejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 2 - 3, ⚽,
69', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).

Colima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zapotlanejo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Colima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colima is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Colima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colima FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
03.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Colima	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Colima - La Piedad	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Colima	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Colima - Los Cabos United	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWLLL
- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.10.25	Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Zapotlanejo	5:0 ✺
07.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tecos FC	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Guerreros de Autlán - Zapotlanejo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.04.25	Colima - Zapotlanejo	0:0
01.12.24	Zapotlanejo - Colima	2:3

Colima - Zapotlanejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide