Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Zapotlanejo		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	3.09	3.24	2.23	Watch
	3.58	3.48	1.99	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	2.09 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zapotlanejo
28.5%

Draw
27.6%

Leones Negros 2
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

25.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zapotlanejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zapotlanejo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Zapotlanejo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leones Negros 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leones Negros 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zapotlanejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Zapotlanejo	5:0 ✺
07.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tecos FC	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Guerreros de Autlán - Zapotlanejo	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Zapotlanejo - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	La Piedad - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Leones Negros 2	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tigres de Álica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Leones Negros 2 - Zapotlanejo	1:2

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