Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Castro |
|
Selaya |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.23 |
3.93 |
|
 |
1.52 |
4.13 |
5.47 |
 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.16 |
4.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.36 ↓
(3.42) |
4.29 ↓
(5.09) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castro
51.3% | Draw
27.3% | Selaya
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Selaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Castro - Selaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Selaya is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Selaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Castro is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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