The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano B 40.1%
Draw 27.6%
Collado Villalba 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
26.6%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
25.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano B's form might have worsened.
Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collado Villalba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collado Villalba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Eto'o E. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, San Jose J. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Messo ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Eto'o E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 2, Eto'o E. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
Rayo Vallecano B in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Collado Villalba is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Collado Villalba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Rayo Vallecano B is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Rayo Vallecano B to win the game is with odds 1.73.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).