Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Real Aranjuez

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.88	2.91	3.63
	2.02	2.85	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)	3.83 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
45.8%

Draw
30.9%

Real Aranjuez
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

23.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collado Villalba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Aranjuez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Collado Villalba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Aranjuez has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Aranjuez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Collado Villalba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.01.23	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Collado Villalba - Rayo Vallecano B	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Las Rozas - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTT
- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.01.23	Real Aranjuez - Canillas	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Real Aranjuez	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Real Aranjuez - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Real Aranjuez - CDE Madrid	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	RSC Internacional - Real Aranjuez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.10.22	Real Aranjuez - Collado Villalba	0:2

Collado Villalba - Real Aranjuez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide