Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Galapagar		Collado Villalba

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.31	3.05	2.9
				Watch
	2.27	3.18	2.91
	2.31	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
39.4%

Draw
29.3%

Collado Villalba
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Galapagar - Collado Villalba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Buceta P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Trival Valderas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Galapagar - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	México - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Galapagar - Parla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTW
- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Aravaca - Collado Villalba	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Collado Villalba - México	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Parla - Collado Villalba	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Collado Villalba - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.03.24	Collado Villalba - Galapagar	1:2
15.10.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:2
15.01.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:0

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