Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 19

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Felanitx		Arenal

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4
	1.74	3.34	4.22
	1.74	3.45	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.17)	3.35 ↑ (3)	4.18 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felanitx
51.5%

Draw
27%

Arenal
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felanitx's performance.

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felanitx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Felanitx have a series of guest games.

Felanitx will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Felanitx won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
27.01.24	Binissalem - Felanitx	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	Inter Manacor - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Felanitx - Mercadal	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Felanitx	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
27.01.24	Arenal - Platges de Calvià	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Arenal - Llosetense	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Alcúdia - Arenal	2:1 ✺
22.12.23	Arenal - Sóller	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Santanyí - Arenal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.09.23	Arenal - Felanitx	2:1

Felanitx - Arenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide