Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Collerense		Santanyí

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.1	2.58
	2.27	3.23	2.92
	2.58	2.94	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.27	3.15	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collerense
38.3%

Draw
29.5%

Santanyí
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Santanyí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Collerense - Santanyí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Santanyi	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.04.26	Son Cladera - Collerense	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Collerense - Alcúdia	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Mallorca B - Collerense	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Formentera - Collerense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTT
- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
01.04.26	Constancia - Santanyí	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Santanyí - Son Cladera	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Alcúdia - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Santanyí - Mallorca B	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.12.25	Santanyí - Collerense	0:0
14.09.24	Collerense - Santanyí	1:2
07.01.24	Collerense - Santanyí	0:2
25.03.23	Collerense - Santanyí	3:1
27.11.22	Santanyí - Collerense	0:0
06.01.22	Collerense - Santanyí	1:0
24.08.19	Collerense - Santanyí	1:4

Collerense - Santanyí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide