Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)


	Colo-Colo		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.47	4.68	6.7
	1.41	4.66	6.91	Watch
	1.48	4.9	6.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.45)	4.69 ↑ (4.57)	6.4 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
65.1%

Draw
20.1%

Deportes Iquique
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportes Iquique aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Colo Colo - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. De Paul F. (G) 22. Isla M. 2. Villagra J. 15. Amor E. 21. Wiemberg E. 23. Vidal A. 5. Mendez V. 34. Pizarro V. 10. Aquino C. 32. Cepeda L. 11. Bolados M.	12. Castillo D. (G) 6. Casanova L. 13. Jorquera M. 30. Blazquez M. 31. Sanchez S. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 26. Gomez M. 29. Moya M. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E.
Substitutes
25. Alarcon T. 49. Clerveaux M. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 24. Hernandez L. 19. Rodriguez S. 12. Villanueva E. (G)	17. Gonzalez C. 27. Henriquez A. 20. Orellana D. 22. Requena L. (G) 18. Salinas Flores H. 16. Soto B. 28. Venezia A.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Villagra J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Bolados M. ⚽, Pizarro V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Moya M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
60', Jorquera M. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
60', Gomez M. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
60', Fuentes C. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
61', De Paul F. ↓, Villanueva E. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Isla M. ⚽, Bolados M. (A),
72', Pino S. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
74', Puch E. (Pen),
77', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Aquino C. (Pen),
84', Aquino C. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
84', Isla M. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
84', Mendez V. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
84', Alarcon T. 🟨,
86', 4 - 0, Vidal A. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
89', Bolados M. ↓, Clerveaux M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colo-Colo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Super Cup
14.09.25	Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile	0:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.08.25	Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Palestino - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	1:4 ✺
10.08.25	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
30.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Limache	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
12.06.25	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	2:2
03.11.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	3:0
25.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:3
06.02.21	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:0
31.10.20	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	0:2
30.03.19	Colo-Colo - Deportes Iquique	2:0
19.08.18	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	2:1

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