The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colo-Colo 40.9%
Draw 28.8%
Universidad de Chile 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
28.9%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Colo Colo - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
Colo-Colo will win
(19 of 19 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colo-Colo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Paul F. (C) 28. Rojas J. 2. Villagra J. 4. Sosa J. 26. Ulloa D. 5. Mendez V. 23. Vidal A. 6. Alarcon T. 22. Aquino C. 9. Correa J. 19. Romero M.
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 17. Hormazabal F. 19. Altamirano J. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 14. Morales M. 11. Eduardo Vargas 18. Lucero J. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E.
Substitutes
30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 24. Hernandez L. 8. Madrid A. 7. Marchant F. 25. Maureira G. (G) 20. Mendez J. 10. Pastran L. 21. Wiemberg E.
28. Arce A. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 24. Romero L. 15. Salomoni F. 31. Tamayo B. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Coaches
Ortiz F.
Meneghini F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Vidal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Morales M. 🟨,
61', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
66', Vidal A. ↓, Madrid A. ↑,
67', Aquino C. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
67', Romero M. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Zaldivia M. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
72', Morales M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
77', Pastran L. 🟨,
80', Alarcon T. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
81', Lucero J. 🟨,
84', Altamirano J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
85', Ulloa D. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 1.
Colo-Colo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Universidad de Chile is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Colo-Colo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Colo Colo
23
17
3
3
48:22
26
54
3
U. De Chile
23
12
6
5
35:19
16
42
Last Results with these Odds
Colo-Colo - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.