Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 21

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Referee: Flores D. (Chi)


	Deportes Iquique		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.4
	2.72	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.79	3.6	2.49
	2.65	3.40	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.71	3.42	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
34.3%

Draw
27.8%

Ñublense
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Deportes Iquique - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ñublense (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Deportes Iquique (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 20%). Ñublense (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 4. Rojas D. 13. Jorquera M. 30. Blazquez M. 31. Sanchez S. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 26. Gomez M. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E. (C) 11. Ramos A.	1. Perez N. (G) 18. Cerezo B. 2. Labrin C. 15. Valencia Cisternas S. A. 14. Campusano J. (C) 5. Valencia E. 13. Saavedra D. 22. Plaza M. 8. Graciani G. 9. Sosa G. 11. Sanchez P.
Substitutes
12. Castillo D. (G) 19. Farfan R. 27. Henriquez A. 29. Moya M. 18. Salinas Flores H. 16. Soto B. 28. Venezia A.	4. Bosso Torres O. 27. Gonzalez R. 28. Molina L. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 34. Poblete J. 16. Sanhueza D. 30. Tapia D. (G)
Coaches
Diaz F.	Fuentes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Fuentes C. 🟥,
36', 0 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽, Plaza M. (A),
37', Puch E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Sosa G. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Graciani G. ⚽, Sanchez P. (A),
64', Saavedra D. 🟨,
67', Ramos A. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
67', Pino S. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
67', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
74', Sanchez P. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
74', Saavedra D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
81', Cerezo B. 🟨,
84', Soto B. 🟨,
85', Gomez M. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
85', Plaza M. ↓, Poblete J. ↑,
86', Cerezo B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
86', Graciani G. ↓, Molina L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 1.

Deportes Iquique has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ñublense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
15.08.25	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Iquique	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.25	Ñublense - Palestino	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Deportes Limache - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.07.25	Huachipato - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	1:1
05.10.24	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	2:0
12.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	2:1
03.04.15	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	2:0
02.11.14	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	1:1
30.03.14	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	3:0
03.11.13	Deportes Iquique - Ñublense	4:1

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