Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)


	Palestino		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5
	1.55	4.15	5.3	Watch
	1.55	4.35	5.86
	1.63	3.74	5.26	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.58	4.1	5.42	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	4.02 ↑ (3.66)	5.32 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
59.1%

Draw
23.3%

Deportes Iquique
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palestino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Palestino - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Palestino (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palestino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 42. Meza F. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Fernandez J. 10. Martinez Arce A. E. 14. Abrigo J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 12. Fernandez R. 9. Castro F.	22. Requena L. (G) 30. Blazquez M. 20. Orellana D. 31. Sanchez S. 13. Jorquera M. 27. Henriquez A. 5. Fuentes C. 26. Gomez M. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 17. Gonzalez C. 10. Puch E. (C)
Substitutes
18. Arias J. 23. Leon J. 27. Marabel J. 8. Parra P. 1. Salas S. (G) 13. Suarez C. 20. Tapia Paez G.	36. Bacca J. 28. Binimelis H. (G) 12. Castillo D. (G) 29. Moya M. 8. Pino S. 18. Salinas Flores H. 16. Soto B.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Fernandez J. 🟨,
41', Orellana D. 🟨,
41', Henriquez A. ↓, Pino S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽, Carrasco B. (A),
67', Gomez M. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
67', Fernandez R. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
67', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
74', Pino S. 🟨,
78', Fernandez J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
79', Fuentes C. 🟨,
79', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Garguez Gomez I. A. (A),
87', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
87', Fuentes C. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
90', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
90', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 4.

Recent performances by Palestino have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Iquique has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palestino is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.25	Audax Italiano - Palestino	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Palestino - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.25	Palestino - Bolívar	0:3 ✺
16.07.25	Bolívar - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.06.25	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
02.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Iquique	4:1 ✺
21.06.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	Deportes Iquique - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
08.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	1:3
24.09.24	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	2:0
28.04.24	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	2:1
28.12.20	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	0:2
16.09.20	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	2:0
17.03.19	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	3:3
28.10.18	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	5:1

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