Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.4
	1.8	3.4	4.45	Watch
	1.99	3.36	4.3
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.93	3.3	4.17	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.71)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	4.32 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
50.4%

Draw
28%

Universidad Católica
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Colo Colo - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Colo-Colo (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. De Paul F. (G) 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 6. Vegas S. 22. Isla M. 5. Mendez V. 23. Vidal A. (C) 34. Pizarro V. 21. Wiemberg E. 32. Cepeda L. 9. Correa J.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 23. Asta-Buruaga T. 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. 3. Mena E. 15. Cuevas C. 20. Valencia J. 17. Medel G. 11. Montes C. 9. Zampedri F. (C) 35. Corral D.
Substitutes
10. Aquino C. 7. Marchant F. 8. Pavez E. 19. Rodriguez S. 40. Suarez N. 2. Villagra J. 12. Villanueva E. (G)	18. Bello E. 22. Canales A. 4. Perez I. 16. Romero L. 14. Rossel J. 40. Valdes F. (G) 30. Valencia D.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Cuevas C. ⚽, Zampedri F. (A),
11', Cuevas C. 🟨,
12', 0 - 2, Asta-Buruaga T. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
32', Vegas S. 🟨,
33', 0 - 3, Zampedri F. ⚽,
39', Corral D. 🟨,
43', 1 - 3, Wiemberg E. ⚽, Correa J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saldivia A. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
46', 1 - 4, Cuevas C. ⚽,
57', Vidal A. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
57', Mendez V. ↓, Pavez E. ↑,
62', Corral D. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
69', Correa J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
74', Valencia J. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
74', Montes C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
83', Zampedri F. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
83', Cuevas C. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
85', Aquino C. 🟨,
85', Mena E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 4.

Recent form of Colo-Colo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Uni Católica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colo-Colo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
10.08.25	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Colo-Colo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
23.07.25	Colo-Colo - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTTLL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
02.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
06.07.25	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	2:0
03.10.24	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	1:0
20.04.24	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	0:1
01.10.23	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	2:1
Chilean Cup
20.08.23	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	1:0
16.08.23	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	0:0
Chilean Primera Division
15.04.23	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	0:0

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