Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 2

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	OHiggins		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.25
	2.80	3.40	2.15
	3.00	3.30	2.10
	2.70	3.56	2.36
	2.57	3.36	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.50	2.30
	2.71	3.44	2.27
	2.80	3.40	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.77)	3.42 ↓ (3.49)	2.28 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
33.3%

Draw
26.7%

Colo-Colo
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OHiggins's performance.

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OHiggins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

OHiggins - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. (C) 8. Felipe Ogaz 7. Martin Sarrafiore 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 32. Vecino T. 26. Godoy R.	25. Maureira G. (G) 13. Fernandez M. 20. Mendez J. 21. Wiemberg E. 26. Ulloa D. (C) 5. Mendez V. 8. Madrid A. 32. Martinez V. 7. Marchant F. 30. Cuevas Y. 24. Hernandez L.
Substitutes
31. Carabali O. (G) 9. Castillo A. 20. Diaz L. 14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 27. Movillo J. 34. Perez B. 30. Tapia J. 29. Yanez B.	6. Alarcon T. . Allende 34. Catalan R. 36. Moya M. 28. Rojas J. 19. Romero M. 4. Sosa J. 23. Vidal A. 12. Villanueva E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Martin Sarrafiore (A),
39', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Vecino T. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
43', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hernandez L. ↓, Allende A. ↑,
46', Mendez V. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
62', Vecino T. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
62', Godoy R. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
62', Cuevas Y. ↓, Vidal A. ↑,
62', Marchant F. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Castillo A. ⚽, Yanez B. (A),
73', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
86', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Perez B. ↑,
86', Gonzalez F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Castillo A. ⚽, Pavez L. (A),
90+3', 4 - 1, Vidal A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 1.

OHiggins has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colo-Colo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

OHiggins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Colo-Colo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

OHiggins - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 23.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Cup
28.06.26	OHiggins - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	OHiggins - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.06.26	Universidad de Chile - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Cup
29.06.26	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Deportes Recoleta - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Colo-Colo - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	0:1
27.07.25	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	1:1
24.02.25	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	0:1
27.07.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:1
Chilean Cup
30.06.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:1
23.06.24	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	2:2

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