Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Colonia Moscardó		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.65	3.3	2.39
	2.66	3.3	2.46
	2.67	3.31	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.68	3.22	2.46
	2.65	3.3	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.06)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
34.1%

Draw
28.1%

CD Guadalajara
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Colonia Moscardó - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Ramirez M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Segovia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Moscardó is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guadalajara is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso	4:3 ✺
01.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Getafe B - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Coria - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW

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