Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 7

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Parla

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	4.8
	1.56	3.17	6.43
	1.56	3.17	6.43
	1.58	3.7	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.99)	3.36 ↑ (3.16)	5.68 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
57.2%

Draw
26.9%

Parla
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colonia Moscardó's performance.

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colonia Moscardó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Moscardó is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Parla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moscardó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moscardó will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.10.23	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Colonia Moscardó - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Alcorcón B - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Colonia Moscardó - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLT
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.10.23	Parla - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Las Rozas - Parla	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Parla - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Galapagar - Parla	4:2 ✺
17.09.23	Parla - Leganés B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.05.22	Colonia Moscardó - Parla	0:2
06.01.22	Parla - Colonia Moscardó	3:0

Colonia Moscardó - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide