Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Weidner Field (Colorado Springs)

Referee: Oliva O. (Usa)


	Colorado Springs Switchbacks		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.15	3.6	2.95
	2.15	3.53	3.18
	2.06	3.42	3.08	Watch
	2.03	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.09 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
44.1%

Draw
26.3%

Rio Grande Valley
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Springs Switchbacks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 12. Skundrich D. 5. Mahoney M. (C) 41. Musa J. 14. Lacroix D. 80. Williams D. 8. Chapman J. 11. Beckford D. 7. Magee T. 27. Tejada J. 9. Williams R.	1. Deric T. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 15. Nodarse F. 6. Benitez G. 12. Ruiz R. 5. Cabezas J. (C) 14. Knapp M. 30. Monis A. 8. Davila T. 16. Coronado R. 10. Pinzon C.
Substitutes
40. Dubrovich J. (G) 13. Echevarria S. 24. Fjeldberg J. 99. Foster M. 17. Henriquez J. 4. Pierre D. 21. Wheeler A.	17. Cerro I. 23. Francois C. 11. Galindrez J. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 4. Pimentel E. 20. Ritondale T.
Coaches
Hogan S.	Cabrera W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colorado Springs won 3.

Colorado Springs is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rio Grande Valley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Grande Valley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colorado Springs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Colorado Springs won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Colorado Springs won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
27.09.23	Detroit City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:3 ✺
23.09.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWTL
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
24.09.23	Indy Eleven - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Rio Grande Valley - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0
22.10.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:0
17.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0
05.05.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:2
16.10.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	1:0
18.09.21	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2
11.09.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	1:1

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