Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	4	3.3
	1.88	4.21	3.29
	1.91	3.8	3.34	Watch
	1.9	3.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.95 ↑ (3.35)	3.32 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
48.9%

Draw
23.3%

San Diego Loyal
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Grande Valley's performance.

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Grande Valley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 4. Pimentel E. 19. Kinzner E. 15. Nodarse F. 7. Torres F. 8. Davila T. 12. Ruiz R. 10. Pinzon C. 11. Galindrez J. 23. Francois C.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 3. Martin E. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 10. Guido A. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. (C) 7. Bodily B. 8. Damus R. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
6. Benitez G. 17. Cerro I. 16. Coronado R. 29. Frame C. 9. Lopez F. 22. Merancio C. (G) 20. Ritondale T.	23. Chilaka M. 18. Collier E. 9. Conway E. 15. Corona J. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	MIller N.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rio Grande Valley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
19.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTLW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
19.08.23	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
09.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	1:3 ✺
30.07.23	San Diego Loyal - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.05.23	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:3
23.07.22	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
21.05.22	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:1
06.05.21	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	1:0

Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide